[News] AI Chip Alone Can’t Hold Up? AMD’s Fiscal Forecast This Quarter Reportedly Falls Short of Expectations – TrendForce
AMD benefited from AI demand last quarter (January to March), with revenue of USD 5.47 billion, surpassing Wall Street expectations and turning a profit compared to the same period last year. However, this quarter’s fiscal forecast and market outlook are not as expected.
AMD achieved a net profit of USD 120 million last quarter, with an adjusted EPS of USD 0.62, surpassing Wall Street’s expected USD 0.61. AMD expects revenue for this quarter to be between USD 5.4 billion and USD 6 billion, with a midpoint of USD 5.7 billion, a 6% increase from the same period last year but slightly below Wall Street’s expected USD 5.73 billion.
After enduring a downturn in the semiconductor industry, AMD finally returned to profitability last quarter, largely due to strong sales of its MI300 series AI chips, which drove revenue in the data center division to grow by 80% year-on-year to USD 2.3 billion.
As per a report from the Wall Street Journal, AMD CEO Lisa Su stated that since the launch of the latest MI300X chip at the end of last year, sales have surpassed $1 billion, with major customers including Microsoft, Meta, Oracle, among other tech giants.
In January, Lisa Su had forecasted that AMD’s AI chip revenue for this year could reach USD 3.5 billion, which was recently revised upwards to USD 4 billion. The AMD MI300 series chips are seen as direct competitors to NVIDIA’s H100 chips. However, NVIDIA announced its new generation AI chip architecture, Blackwell, in March this year, forcing AMD to accelerate its pace. Lisa Su stated that AMD is already developing the next generation of AI chips.
AMD’s client division, which sells PC chips, has also benefited from the AI wave, with revenue increasing by 85% year-on-year to USD 1.4 billion last quarter, once again proving the recovery and growth of the global PC market. AMD’s chips for PCs are capable of executing AI computations locally, targeting the increasingly expanding demand for AI-enabled PCs.
Regarding the applications of AI PCs, Su previously stated in an interview with Sina that she found communication, productivity, and creativity particularly exciting. Many applications are still in their early stages, but she expects to see more developments in the coming years.
However, AMD’s businesses outside of AI chips are facing increasing challenges. Revenue from the gaming console chip division declined by 48% year-on-year to USD 920 million last quarter, falling short of Wall Street’s expectations of USD 970 million. Additionally, the revenue from the embedded chip division, established after AMD’s acquisition of Xilinx in 2022, also decreased by 46% year-on-year to USD 850 million last quarter, similarly below Wall Street’s expectations of USD 940 million.
TrendForce previously issued an analysis in a press release, indicating that the AI PC market is propelled by two key drivers: Firstly, demand for terminal applications, mainly dominated by Microsoft through its Windows OS and Office suite, is a significant factor. Microsoft is poised to integrate Copilot into the next generation of Windows, making Copilot a fundamental requirement for AI PCs.
Secondly, Intel, as a leading CPU manufacturer, is advocating for AI PCs that combine CPU, GPU, and NPU architectures to enable a variety of terminal AI applications.
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(Photo credit: AMD)
